London midday: Stocks remain lower as trade deal hopes dashed

Fri 08 Nov 2019

LONDON (SHARECAST) - (Sharecast News) - London stocks were off lows but still in the red by midday on Friday as optimism over a trade deal between the US and China faded.
The FTSE 100 was 0.2% lower at 7,390.40, while sterling was down 0.2% against the dollar at 1.2796 and flat versus the euro at 1.1602.

Sentiment was boosted on Thursday on news that the US and China had agreed to roll back tariffs as part of a 'phase one' trade deal. However, those hopes were soon dashed by reports of division among the Trump administration.

Reuters cited sources familiar with the talks as saying that the agreement between the US and China to roll back tariffs faces "fierce" internal opposition in the White House and from outside advisers. Sources said the idea of a tariff rollback was not part of the original October 'handshake' deal between Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He and US President Trump.

To add to the confusion, assistant to the president and director of the National Trade Council, Peter Navarro said on the Fox Business Network on Thursday night that there was no agreement at this time to remove any of the existing tariffs as a condition of the 'phase one' deal.

Meanwhile, White House spokeswoman Stephanie Grisham claimed the government was "very, very optimistic" that an agreement will be reached soon.

Oanda analyst Craig Erlam said: "Sometimes we can get so caught up in the trade headlines that we don't stop to question why everything doesn't quite add up and align with past behaviour. Last month, Trump's announcement of a phase one deal sounded very one sided for the US, begging the question of what exactly China is demanding in exchange, now we know.

"Now we have reports suggesting there could be significant roll-backs in the tariffs as part of the deal but this equally raises a number questions. Why would the US give away all the leverage it has built up in exchange for a phase one agreement? I'm not saying an agreement won't be signed next month but there's clearly still a number of issues to overcome.

"And that means there's still plenty of opportunity for everything to collapse. The two sides still haven't even agreed on a location and date for the signing ceremony, which may suggest they're not quite as there as some have indicated."

In equity markets, miners took a hit from the trade deal headlines, with Anglo American, Antofagasta and BHP all lower.

British Airways and Iberia parent IAG flew lower after cutting its capacity growth forecasts for the next three years and lowering its average earnings per share growth forecast to 10%+ per year from 12%+.

Insurer Phoenix Group fell after announcing that chief executive officer Clive Bannister will retire on 10 March 2020 after the company's full-year results and be succeeded by former Aviva executive Andy Briggs.

Royal Mail edged lower after saying it was seeking an injunction at the High Court to stop works from striking. The company said there were "irregularities" in the ballot of Communications Workers Union members that meant the vote for industrial action was unlawful.

On the upside, Games Workshop surged after the maker of miniature wargames said trading since its update in September had continued "well", with profit and sales ahead of the previous year, and that royalties receivable were "significantly" ahead of the prior year.

Beazley racked up solid gains after the Lloyd's insurer posted 12% growth in gross written premiums for the nine months to the end of September.

Dunelm was in the green after an upgrade to 'buy' from 'neutral' at UBS. "Dunelm's PE premium to the sector is down 28% since September despite our new analysis showing clear visibility of market share gains and future growth," it said.

Market Movers

FTSE 100 (UKX) 7,390.40 -0.22%
FTSE 250 (MCX) 20,401.67 -0.15%
techMARK (TASX) 3,979.66 -0.05%

FTSE 100 - Risers

Centrica (CNA) 72.78p 2.08%
DCC (DCC) 7,516.00p 1.79%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 2,914.00p 1.71%
London Stock Exchange Group (LSE) 6,860.00p 1.69%
Hiscox Limited (DI) (HSX) 1,273.96p 1.59%
Imperial Brands (IMB) 1,795.80p 1.40%
Associated British Foods (ABF) 2,454.00p 0.95%
Unilever (ULVR) 4,692.58p 0.82%
Severn Trent (SVT) 2,216.00p 0.77%
Experian (EXPN) 2,386.00p 0.68%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Ocado Group (OCDO) 1,235.50p -3.55%
NMC Health (NMC) 2,325.00p -3.45%
Fresnillo (FRES) 662.76p -3.05%
Anglo American (AAL) 2,055.00p -2.47%
Evraz (EVR) 376.07p -2.45%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 2,068.00p -2.36%
Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HIK) 1,899.00p -2.21%
Flutter Entertainment (FLTR) 8,014.00p -1.98%
ITV (ITV) 132.50p -1.96%
Auto Trader Group (AUTO) 537.00p -1.83%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Games Workshop Group (GAW) 5,264.50p 16.83%
Beazley (BEZ) 585.01p 8.54%
TI Fluid Systems (TIFS) 219.05p 4.81%
Sirius Minerals (SXX) 3.08p 3.58%
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (AML) 439.80p 3.51%
Dunelm Group (DNLM) 791.50p 3.40%
Tate & Lyle (TATE) 720.40p 3.39%
Ascential (ASCL) 339.40p 2.11%
Airtel Africa (AAF) 67.97p 2.06%
Trainline (TRN) 448.50p 1.93%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Investec (INVP) 448.30p -4.74%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 131.77p -4.55%
Kaz Minerals (KAZ) 511.00p -2.67%
AJ Bell (AJB) 397.89p -2.48%
IMI (IMI) 1,109.68p -2.32%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 371.40p -2.26%
Aggreko (AGK) 801.80p -2.20%
Vivo Energy (VVO) 124.80p -2.19%
Crest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) 360.60p -2.01%
Senior (SNR) 175.40p -1.96%
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